It is clear now that the meeting between President Trump and President Xi of China went much better than one would have expected. It would appear that China realizes how much North Korea threatens their bottom line!! The Chinese have acknowledged President Trump’s willingness to strike North Korea if needed and are now pushing their Proxy to stop its nuclear weapons program!
In one of my previous opinion pieces discussing President Trump’s meeting with President Xi, I wrote:
“I expect that President Trump will reach an agreement with China that sees North Korea losing some of its support from China in exchange for Trump rolling back talk of Tariffs on Chinese goods entering the United States. Although both countries are communist, North Korea still maintains a distrust of China which has led to some military and economic tension between the two countries. American unilateral action on North Korea would have an impact on China’s trade routes and impact the surrounding countries of Asia. The fact that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson will be present for the Presidential Summit in Mar-a-Lago gives me the impression that some of these details were discussed during his trip to China and that the meeting between President Xi and President Trump will be to reassure China that the U.S. is willing to partner with them if the deals are mutually beneficial.”
Which leads me to share this statement from the Chinese:
“China has a bottom line that it will protect at all costs, that is, the security and stability of northeast China… If the bottom line is touched, China will employ all means available including the military means to strike back. By that time, it is not an issue of discussion whether China acquiesces in the US’ blows, but the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) will launch attacks to DPRK nuclear facilities on its own.”
And now the Japanese are not only voicing their concerns over North Korea, but have decided to mobilize and join the American Armada headed to the Korean peninsula.
North Korea may have the capacity to deliver missiles equipped with sarin nerve gas, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said on Thursday, amid concerns that the reclusive state could soon conduct its sixth nuclear test or more missile launches.
“There is a possibility that North Korea already has a capability to deliver missiles with sarin as warheads,” Abe told a parliamentary session.
Japanese Warships Will Join American Armada
“Japan plans to send several warships to the Korean Peninsula to join the U.S. warship Carl Vinson, which was redeployed to the region Monday according to reports. Kyodo news agency, a cooperative news agency based in Japan, and Reuters both cited sources that had confirmed ships from Japan’s naval fleet would travel to the East China Sea to join U.S. forces.”
All this while the U.S. has been reaffirming its position on military action and NK nuclear weapons tests.
“The U.S. is prepared to launch a preemptive strike with conventional weapons against North Korea should officials become convinced that North Korea is about to follow through with a nuclear weapons test, multiple senior U.S. intelligence officials told NBC News.”
North Korea has not backed off its position: It will continue its nuclear program, it will most likely test a nuclear bomb over the weekend, and they are willing to launch an initial nuclear strike on American forces in South Korea.
“North Korean state media warned on Tuesday of a nuclear attack on the United States at any sign of American aggression as a U.S. Navy strike group steamed toward the western Pacific.”
This has to be one of the fastest developing situations I have ever tried to cover. The amount of information being reported is almost staggering. Here are just some of the other headlines that are just as important that paint a broader picture of the events unfolding.
Here are the possible scenarios I think we are looking at:
- North Korea tests another Nuke, China and US hold joint strike on North Korea.
- China manages to talk North Korea into relinquishing Nuclear Weapons.
- Crippling sanctions by China, US, and its allies cause the North Koreans to give up their Nuclear Weapons.
- Sanctions cause North Korean government to implode.
- North Korea tests another Nuke, US strikes North Korean nuclear facilities, North Korea launches full assault on South Korea.
- China takes out North Korea’s nuclear sites on its own as fear grows that war with US would cause a massive economic downturn for China.
- China attempts to coup Kim Jong-un and establishes Chinese puppet leader.
- North Korea uses subs to disrupt South Korean and Japanese trade routes, forces strike by US or Japan. China gets involved and invades North Korea.
- North Korea detonates Nuke near border with China, China sees this as a threat and strikes North Korea.
Needless to say, if North Korea fires a nuclear weapon at South Korea, the American Armada, or Japan, there will be a brutal and swift response from the Trump Administration. It is also possible that any conflict can and will see North Korea using chemical and biological weapons on South Korea.
I do think President Trump and China still have the ability to find a peaceful resolution to this problem, however arrogant moves by Kim Jong-un might make it impossible.